My prediction is that it won't mean any end to the indie market.
First off, the casual market that many indie developers are targetting, probably won't see Vista in another 3-5 years..
(just look at the computers specs out there as of now)
Secondly, I'm guessing that within that time (3-5 years), MS probably will have some sort of way of opening platforms/devtools to the casual game developers,
or atleast making it easier for indie developers to create games and tools.
This is because the casual market is so huge, and MS can't afford "normal" people not to upgrade to Vista, because their casual games and apps won't work.
First off, the casual market that many indie developers are targetting, probably won't see Vista in another 3-5 years..
(just look at the computers specs out there as of now)
Secondly, I'm guessing that within that time (3-5 years), MS probably will have some sort of way of opening platforms/devtools to the casual game developers,
or atleast making it easier for indie developers to create games and tools.
This is because the casual market is so huge, and MS can't afford "normal" people not to upgrade to Vista, because their casual games and apps won't work.