Pff, the expensive licenses aren't too much of a problem for casual developers unless they're the kind that focus attention like pros.
Once the homebrewers get going on the PS3, as they always do, noone will have to pay a cent and (if you're lucky), you may be able to make something good enough to persuade Sony to give you a dev kit.
Once the homebrewers get going on the PS3, as they always do, noone will have to pay a cent and (if you're lucky), you may be able to make something good enough to persuade Sony to give you a dev kit.